Some people say that the threshold for programmers is gradually disappearing, because there are more and more computer-related graduates every year; More and more students come out of IT training courses year by year; Programming courses on the Internet are also helping millions of people transition from zero-based software development…
And programmers’ salaries, which can range from $20,000 to $30,000 to $30,000, far higher than most technical jobs in other industries, seem bubbly.
Future programmers more and more, oversupply, will certainly be cabbage price, and said that this is a general economic law.
When we talk about supply and demand, we usually need one basic condition: the product business must be standard. Our generation is in the transition from the “industrial age” to the “information intelligence age”. So we often use the experience of the industrial age to make assumptions about the trend of the information intelligence age, which is itself outdated. Here’s a look at a number of ways that programmers’ earnings might look like a decade from now.
① Industry trend
Within a year or two, personal effort will make a big difference in whether you get a promotion and a raise in your salary. Five years, eight years, ten years or more, trends will far outweigh and even overwhelm individual efforts. When you get into the right channel, the current will push you along at high speed, even if you don’t have to push hard. This is the power of trend.
So what are the trends? Which industry is the right channel? A chart of industry growth in the United States over the past 200 years, showing trends in several industries, from steamships in 1820 to the Internet in 1995. Domestic trends are similar to those in the United States, but a few years behind. The growth rate of each industry has gone through stages of growth, peaking and slow decline. The accelerated development of China’s Internet, probably starting in 1997, the first is the PC to the Internet, then the mobile Internet, Internet + now, next iot, intelligence, wisdom, transit, artificial intelligence, all the way to flourish, despite twists and turns, big trend has never changed, the future a generalization and deepening, ten years eight years, positive trend! As long as this trend continues, those working in related fields will not see their incomes fall.
② Programmers will be paid more ten years from now
In the era of information intelligence, production methods and processes are changing at a faster pace, product manufacturing cycles are getting shorter, ideas are popping up on crowdfunding sites, personalized customization markets are expanding, and supply chains are changing to be consumer-centric. More of the things that are produced are not physical objects, they only need to be produced once and the cost of copying and expanding is zero: a good APP or game, for example.
Even our money is turning into numbers in payment software. At this time, companies in the era of information intelligence are also undergoing a great change in the way they produce: they all need to embrace change and innovate. When most of the work is in an industry innovation, the influx of people, the more will only lead to change faster, more prosperous industry, rushed to new heights and rushed out of the earth to conquer the universe. (don’t forget to raise the company’s mission: human migration to Mars). The relationship between supply and demand becomes a natural balance due to the extreme development of information, and the abundance of ideas will only send people to a more reasonable direction at a great speed and climb to new unimaginable heights. Therefore, in the era of information intelligence, programmers are in the center of the executive layer of this industry and era, and their salaries will only get higher and higher. If they are pressed to treasure, they will be unimaginably high. Some time ago, the boss ma gave the King of Glory team 100 months salary, although the rumor has been refuted, but we can not underestimate the king of Glory team bonus strength.
(3) National strategic planning
Will this trend change over the next decade or so? Let’s take a look at the country’s 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-2020). The 13th Five-Year Plan covers the period from 2016 to 2020. The general direction of the plan is to accelerate the expansion of strategic emerging industries and create new engines for economic and social development. In strategic emerging industries, the most important is information technology industry and network economy. What does that mean? Information technology and network economy are the focus of the national strategic planning, and the national level will provide various policies, funds and resources to support its rapid and extensive development. Internet plus, big data and artificial intelligence will be top priorities. Developers will have a better development if they are closer to big data and artificial intelligence.
We can conclude that in the next ten years, software, Internet, data, intelligence and other related fields will still be the development trend of The Times, and the average income of programmers supporting the development of these fields will still be much higher than other industries.
Of course, if programmers are doing manual labor, copying and pasting glue code all day. It is also a pipe dream to hope that your salary will get better and better and not be eliminated by The Times.
IT is a good industry! Young people, this is the kind of industry to change the world ~